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Crown Green Handicap

Ray Bates

Team: Eagle & Child (Rfd) BDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

655

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

35

Matches Played

7

Wins

28

Losses

20%

Win Rate

8.1

Avg Win Margin

10.5

Avg Loss Margin

5-11

Home Record

2-17

Away Record

50%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
18 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/26/2026

Only 18 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Boosted by the Division 1 confidence floor rule.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 35 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

26 Apr5 Jul24 Aug30 May14 May7 May14 Apr26 May-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
22%
score-0.56→contribution-0.22
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.8
score-0.04→contribution-0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
13.1
score-0.85→contribution-0.13
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
22%
score-0.56→contribution-0.06
Opponent Strength(10%)
740
score-0.88→contribution-0.09
Weighted Score-0.503
Sample Size Confidence
50%(18/41 matches) · floored
Rating849 → shrunk 925→ adjusted 633
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)725
Recency Blend24% (18 recent matches)
Final Rating655
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

7W28L35 matches·20% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Eagle & Child (Rainford) B2022–2025Division 32752218.5%
Eagle & Child (Rfd) B2026Division 272528.6%
Eagle & Child (Rainford) A2022Division 11010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/26/2026Phil WatkinsonH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026Norman AthertonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/12/2026Nick BatesA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
4/28/2026Kevin ParrA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 2
4/21/2026Jim RennisonH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/14/2026Mark WakefieldA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
4/7/2026L SimmsH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025John PyeA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
5/27/2025P MurphyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
5/21/2025George BishopA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2025Ged FillinghamA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2025James RobertsA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
7/23/2024Andy HillH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024Fred HullH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 3
5/21/2024Alan LiptrotH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2024Ernie HarrisonA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2024Stanley TaylorH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2024Phil WatkinsA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023George MarshH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
6/6/2023Albert DayA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023Rick AshcroftH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
4/25/2023Frank WilliamsH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
4/18/2023Ward HattonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
9/6/2022Peter GriffithsA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2022Simon ChurchillH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
8/24/2022Les TeelingA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
7/26/2022M ErskingA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
7/19/2022John RyanH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
7/12/2022Phil WatkinsH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
7/5/2022John MayerA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
5/24/2022Paul DolanA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
5/17/2022Dave OllertonH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022Bill AssonA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2022Anthony SinerH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
4/19/2022Colin WebsterA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1030% win rate— steady
LWLLLLWLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Phil Watkins0220%4/9/2024
Phil Watkinson0110%5/26/2026
Norman Atherton101100%5/19/2026
Nick Bates0110%5/12/2026
Kevin Parr0110%4/28/2026
Jim Rennison0110%4/21/2026
Mark Wakefield0110%4/14/2026
L Simms101100%4/7/2026
John Pye0110%8/26/2025
P Murphy0110%5/27/2025
Biggest Win
Stanley Taylor (+14)5/7/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Kevin Parr (-18)4/28/2026
Best Season
202217% · 12 matches
Worst Season
202217% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
18% → 22%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
74035 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-2721% win rate

By Division

Division 35-22 (19%)
Division 22-5 (29%)
Division 10-1 (0%)
Division 10%
0W·1L·1 played
Division 228.6%
2W·5L·7 played
Division 318.5%
5W·22L·27 played

Debut

Apr 19, 2022

Latest

May 26, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

7.0 (35 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026